Cyclical: bought at the gRevlimid cliff
| Peer | Status | P/E | ROE | Mkt cap | Why we do not hold it (approved text) | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dr Reddy's Laboratories | Held | 31.40 | 11.07% | 1.01 L Cr | Cyclical: bought at the gRevlimid cliff | |
| Sun Pharma | Not held | n/a | n/a | n/a | Sun is priced for its specialty franchise (innovative medicines 21.9% of sales) while DRL trades at ~21x depressed FY28E earnings; DRL is the higher-beta recovery play on semaglutide and margin normalisation, held small (0.7%) as a cyclical. | Screener · Tijori |
| Cipla | Not held | n/a | n/a | n/a | Cipla faces the same gRevlimid cliff (brokers modelled ~31% PAT decline in Q1FY27) without DRL's Canada semaglutide first-mover position, Russia/NRT diversification or Rs 3,058 cr net cash. | Screener · Tijori |
Peer numbers are shown only where the peer is in the security master (fundamentals pulled); "n/a" otherwise — a peer is not added to the data pull without a research request. Reasons are quoted from the one-pager (8 Sep 2026).
Sun Pharma is the quality leader but at 35x+ already prices its specialty franchise and is the most exposed to the lenalidomide cliff; Cipla faces a Goa-plant remediation and a respiratory pipeline dependency; Lupin has re-rated to Sun-like multiples on a handful of US launches; Zydus is the closest competitor to our GLP-1 thesis but priced for it. We own no hospital (Apollo, Max, Fortis at 60–80x EBITDA-normalised P/E) and no CDMO at 70x+ (Divi's, Syngene) — the sector can be attractive while individual valuations still matter. Apollo Pharmacy is buried inside a hospital valuation; MedPlus is the pure play.
All sectors we avoid or underweight →Glenmark (2.4%, Turnaround) has converted from a leveraged, litigation-heavy generic company into a net-cash innovator partner: the AbbVie licence for ISB 2001 (a first-in-class myeloma trispecific) brought $700 mn upfront and up to $1.2 bn of milestones, and the base business grows double digits with a 20%+ EBITDA margin. Aurobindo (1.6%, Value) is the largest US ANDA portfolio in India (896 filings) at 20x FY28E, with Pen-G backward integration and a biosimilar and injectables pipeline the multiple ignores. Granules (0.7%, Value) is a low-cost API-to-formulation integrator whose margins are recovering from a compliance reset. Dr Reddy's (0.7%, Cyclical) is bought at the gRevlimid cliff — North America generics fell 35–42% in Q1FY27 — for the semaglutide, biosimilar and NRT (Nicotinell) growth engines that come after it. MedPlus (0.8%, Core) is the second-largest organised pharmacy chain in a market where 1 million unorganised pharmacies still serve most of the country, growing stores ~15% a year with private label ~20% of revenue.
| Anti - Diabetes - Market Share | 2.04 % | as of Jul 22 |
| Anti-Infectives - Market Share | 1.39 % | as of Jul 22 |
| Antineo Plastic - Market Share | 6.51 % | as of Nov 21 |
| Blood Related - Market Share | 2.62 % | as of Nov 21 |
| Cardiovascular - Market Share | 2.39 % | as of Jul 22 |
| Dermatology - Market Share | 5.05 % | as of Nov 21 |
| Endocrinology - Market Share | 0.01 % | as of Oct 21 |
| Gastro-Intestinal - Market Share | 4.35 % | as of Jul 22 |