07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 34 · Manufacturing: Electronics

Electronics manufacturing & semiconductors.

GVA FY26
₹1.7 lakh cr
0.5% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹6.6 lakh cr
0.8% of GVA
Growth to FY35
18% to FY30
14.9% FY30–35
Listed companies
47
₹4.90 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Electronics manufacturing generated gross production of ~US$135 bn (₹11.8 lakh crore) in FY26 but only an estimated ₹1.7 lakh crore of domestic value added, about 14% of output, because 70-80% of a device's bill of materials is imported. It is India's fastest-growing manufacturing export (from US$12 bn in FY20 to US$52 bn in FY26) but is fundamentally an assembly industry rather than a component-making one, dominated by contract manufacturers such as Foxconn, Tata Electronics and Samsung assembling phones for Apple, Samsung and Chinese brands. The Production-Linked Incentive scheme (2020) built the smartphone assembly base; the 2025 Electronics Component Manufacturing Scheme and the ₹76,000 crore India Semiconductor Mission are now trying to build the next, higher-value layer (components, OSATs, the Dholera wafer fab). Growth depends on whether the value-added-to-production ratio rises from 14% toward 15.5-17% as component localisation and semiconductor packaging/fab output come on stream; without that shift, each additional US$10 bn of exports adds only ₹1,200-1,500 crore to GVA.

Estimated GVA
1.7 ₹ lakh crore (0.54% of national GVA; 3.6% of manufacturing) · FY26
Gross production
~135 US$ bn (₹11.8 lakh crore); mobiles ~US$60 bn · FY26
Exports / Imports
52 / 98 US$ bn (electronic goods; net importer of US$46 bn) · FY26
Direct employment
~1.5 mn (assembly-heavy; ~1 mn in mobiles) · FY26
Listed PAT (ex-BEL)
~0.03 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Listed market cap
~2.3 ₹ lakh crore (Dixon ~₹0.9 LC, PE >60x) · FY26
GVA ÷ production ratio
14 % · FY26
ISM outlay / approved project investment
76,000 / ~160,000 ₹ crore · FY26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 222–227; base year 2022-23. Note: GVA for listed companies = employee cost + EBITDA from FY25 audited accounts (grade B); for unlisted MNC plants (Foxconn, Samsung, Pegatron) and Tata Electronics, GVA is estimated from press-reported