07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 42 · Production side — Construction, real estate & strategic manufacturing

Real estate & housing.

GVA FY26
₹32 lakh cr
10.2% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹73 lakh cr
9.3% of GVA
Growth to FY35
9.6% a year
9.7% FY30–35
Listed companies
267
₹8.98 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Real estate & housing is 10.2% of India's GVA (₹32 lakh crore, FY26) and is mostly a statistical construct rather than a company-produced activity: ₹22 lakh crore is imputed and actual rent on the dwelling stock that 330 million households effectively pay themselves, and only ₹10 lakh crore is real-estate services (development, non-residential rentals, brokerage, property management). It sits on ₹520 lakh crore of household real-estate wealth (~150% of GDP) against ₹40 lakh crore of mortgages (12% of GDP), and the only investable slice is about 25 listed developers (₹8.3 lakh crore market cap, 49x P/E) and five REITs (~₹1.2 lakh crore market cap, ~165 msf). Growth has tracked nominal GDP at 10-13% a year since FY05, with imputed rent growing slower (household formation ~1.5%, rents ~5-6%) and real-estate services growing faster on formalisation, office/warehousing stock growth and rising mortgage penetration; the base case takes the chapter to ₹46 lakh crore by FY30 and ₹73 lakh crore by FY35, a declining share of GVA as finance and IT grow faster. Rates are the dominant swing factor for both mortgage demand and developer financing costs.

Household real-estate wealth
~520 ₹ lakh crore · end-FY26
Household real-estate wealth as % of household assets / GDP
40% of household assets / ~150 % of GDP · end-FY26
Mortgages outstanding (banks + HFCs)
~40 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Mortgages / GDP
11.6 (chapter text rounds to 12) % of GDP · FY26
Housing stock
~350 million dwellings · FY26
Households, owner-occupied share
330 mn households; ~87% owner-occupied count / % · FY26
Listed developers market cap (Ace 'Realty', 25 cos)
8.3 ₹ lakh crore · Jul-2026
Listed developer PAT (Ace 'Realty')
0.17 (₹17,031 crore) ₹ lakh crore · FY26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 278–284; base year 2022-23. Note: Confidence grades (A official, B triangulated, C estimate, D directional) are shown throughout; the chapter's overall history table (42.1) grades FY26 as B/C and earlier years C-D, while the decomposi