07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 45 · Trade, hotels & consumer services

Hotels, restaurants & tourism.

GVA FY26
₹3 lakh cr
0.95% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹8.5 lakh cr
1.09% of GVA
Growth to FY35
12.3% a year
11.7% FY30–35
Listed companies
158
₹11.29 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Hotels, restaurants & tourism is a small, highly cyclical, high-margin listed core sitting inside a large, mostly informal service industry, adding an estimated ₹3.0 lakh crore of GVA in FY26 (0.95% of national GVA) on ₹6.6 lakh crore of household spend plus US$40.6 bn of inbound tourism receipts. About 70% of eating out and most lodging remain unorganised, while a listed sector worth ₹4.0 lakh crore of market cap on ₹0.09 lakh crore of PAT is built on roughly 200,000 branded hotel rooms (RevPAR up ~60% since FY20) and quick-service restaurant chains whose profits have lagged their store growth. GVA fell ~40% in FY21 before compounding at ~13% a year since FY23 as room rates repriced and eating out normalised. The base case has the industry outgrowing the economy, reaching ₹4.9 lakh crore by FY30 and ₹8.5 lakh crore by FY35, driven by eating-out share gains, rising air travel per head, growing branded room supply, and inbound tourism catching up to India's share of world GDP.

Household spend on restaurants & hotels
6.6 ₹ LC · FY26
Household spend, share of PFCE (COICOP 11)
3.4 % · FY26
Inbound tourism receipts
40.6 US$ bn · FY26
Outbound travel spend
65.5 US$ bn · FY26
Branded hotel rooms
~2.0 lakh, of ~30 lakh total rooms · FY26
Employment
~12 mn (1.9% of workers) · FY26
Listed hospitality market cap
4.0 ₹ LC · FY26
Listed hospitality PAT
9,402 ₹ cr · FY26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 297–302; base year 2022-23. Note: Confidence grades per the chapter's snapshot: GVA FY26 and household spend grade B; branded hotel rooms and employment grade C; tourism/outbound BoP figures grade A; listed hospitality grade B; indust