NSE: KAYNES· Info TechTurnaround · Aug 26Small cap

Kaynes Technology India

EMS + semiconductor (OSAT/PCB)

Last close
₹3,511.50
29 Sept 2026 · reference
1D · 1M
−4.0% · −10.9%
price-only
Weight
2.4%
31 Jul 2026 · Aug rank 12
Thesis review
8 Sep 2026
Why We Own, p46
Coverage owner: Research (per book); latest results Q Jun-26Screener ↗Tijori ↗NSE ↗
Map

What must happen → what could break it → what we watch

Catalysts · 3
  • Q3FY27 (Oct-Dec 2026): commercial ramp of Sanand OSAT and Chennai PCB plants; first meaningful component revenue.
    C1
  • Q2FY27 results (Nov-2026): evidence of working-capital normalisation and margin recovery toward 17% guidance.
    C2
  • ISM 2.0 / ECMS approvals and any anchor OSAT customer announcements (Kaynes was linked to advanced-node packaging news in 2026).
    C3
Material risks · 3
  • Working capital and cash burn: debtor days 154 and working-capital days 133 at Mar-26 (from 64), FY26 operating cash flow -Rs 600 cr; net debt rose to ~Rs 800 cr in Q1FY27 - growth is being funded by the balance sheet.
    R1
  • Execution/timing of OSAT and PCB: both slipped to Q3FY27 readiness; yields, customer qualification and subsidy timing could delay the Rs 450-500 cr FY27 contribution and keep ROE at 9-11% (Buoyant FY27e ROE 11.3%).
    R2
  • Promoter holding fell 10.1% over 3 years (53.46% at Jun-26) on QIP dilution; further equity raises for semiconductor capex would dilute EPS.
    R3
Live monitors
  • Valuation vs approved target
    No target stated
  • Latest reported quarter
    Q Jun-26
  • Results-driven thresholds
    Awaiting approved numbers

Catalysts and risks are the approved one-pager text in full; the register below adds owners and review dates. Monitors read from the price and fundamentals feeds.

Risks as a decision framework

Material risks

Risk register
#Risk (approved text)Owner · next review
01Working capital and cash burn: debtor days 154 and working-capital days 133 at Mar-26 (from 64), FY26 operating cash flow -Rs 600 cr; net debt rose to ~Rs 800 cr in Q1FY27 - growth is being funded by the balance sheet.Research · post 2QFY27
02Execution/timing of OSAT and PCB: both slipped to Q3FY27 readiness; yields, customer qualification and subsidy timing could delay the Rs 450-500 cr FY27 contribution and keep ROE at 9-11% (Buoyant FY27e ROE 11.3%).Research · post 2QFY27
03Promoter holding fell 10.1% over 3 years (53.46% at Jun-26) on QIP dilution; further equity raises for semiconductor capex would dilute EPS.Research · post 2QFY27

Exposure mechanism, impact and mitigants are as written in the book. Leading indicators and numeric triggers not stated in the approved text remain research tasks rather than being invented.

Catalysts

Observable events

  • 01Q3FY27 (Oct-Dec 2026): commercial ramp of Sanand OSAT and Chennai PCB plants; first meaningful component revenue.
  • 02Q2FY27 results (Nov-2026): evidence of working-capital normalisation and margin recovery toward 17% guidance.
  • 03ISM 2.0 / ECMS approvals and any anchor OSAT customer announcements (Kaynes was linked to advanced-node packaging news in 2026).
Monitors

Live monitors from available data

  • ClearValuation exceeding the approved range: reference close 3,512 vs base target not stated.
  • DataLatest reported quarter in fundamentals: Q Jun-26. Results-driven monitors (growth below thesis threshold, margin, credit cost) need approved numeric thresholds; none in the book.
  • DataInput-cost and capital-allocation monitors require licensed commodity/filings feeds — not configured.