07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 16 · Utilities

Power generation.

GVA FY26
₹4 lakh cr
1.27% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹10.2 lakh cr
1.3% of GVA
Growth to FY35
11.6% to FY30
10.5% FY30–35
Listed companies
105
₹28.67 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

India's power plants generated ~1,900 billion units (BU) in FY26 from ~505 GW of installed capacity; non-fossil sources are now more than half of capacity (52%) but coal still produces 70-73% of electricity. Generation's estimated GVA of ₹4.0 lakh crore (1.27% of national GVA) is smaller than the sector's ₹5.6 lakh crore of listed revenue because fuel is a pass-through in regulated tariffs (fuel is ~₹3.5 lakh crore of the ~₹8 lakh crore generator-gate revenue pool and is not value added). What makes the industry matter to the equity market is capital: listed power companies spent ₹1.85 lakh crore on capex in FY25, more than any other sector, and the FY30 build-out of solar, wind, storage and a last wave of coal is the single largest investment programme in the economy. Capacity has grown 4.3x since FY05 (118 to 505 GW) as private ownership rose from 12% to 58% of capacity, almost entirely through renewables; the equity market prices the sector at roughly 2x its GVA weight, a growth and capital-intensity premium rather than a profit-density anomaly.

Estimated GVA
4.0 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Installed capacity
~505 GW · Mar-2026
Generation
~1,900 billion units · FY26
Listed PAT (gencos)
~0.65 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Listed capex
1.85 ₹ lakh crore · FY25
Market cap
~12 ₹ lakh crore · Sep-2026
Non-fossil share of capacity
52 % · FY26
Coal share of generation
72 % · FY26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 104–110; base year 2022-23. Note: FY05/FY10 on the 2004-05 base, FY15/FY20 on the 2011-12 base, FY26 on the 2022-23 base (levels not spliced across the FY12/FY23 breaks); FY30E/FY35E are base-case model estimates. Table 16.1's 'Nomina