07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 28 · Manufacturing

Metal products, pipes, wires & cables.

GVA FY26
₹1.6 lakh cr
0.51% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹4.05 lakh cr
0.52% of GVA
Growth to FY35
10.9% a year
10.6% FY30–35
Listed companies
166
₹14.20 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Fabricated metal products (NIC 25) plus steel pipes and insulated wires and cables form a ₹1.6 lakh crore value-added industry in FY26 — 0.51% of national GVA and 3.4% of manufacturing — employing close to five million people, more than any manufacturing industry other than textiles and food. Most of it is informal (structural fabrication, doors and grills, utensils, hand tools, job-work machining in unincorporated workshops, ~70% informal by employment), but two organised, listed and fast-consolidating corners — structural steel tubes (APL Apollo ~50% share) and wires & cables (top-5 ~52% of the market by FY30E) — have compounded revenue at 15–20% a year, drawing new entrants such as UltraTech and Adani into cables in 2025. Industry GVA has compounded at about 9% a year since FY10, roughly in line with manufacturing, but its share of manufacturing GVA has fallen from 5.5% in FY05 to 3.4% in FY26 as the slow-growing informal core dragged on the fast-growing organised segments. The base case projects ~9.7% nominal CAGR to ₹2.45 lakh crore by FY30 and ₹4.05 lakh crore by FY35, driven by construction and real estate (~45% of demand), power transmission & renewables (~20%), and industrial/auto OEMs (~20%), with formalisation (GST, e-way bills, BIS standards) continuing to shift share from unorganised to organised producers.

Estimated industry GVA
1.6 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
% of national GVA
0.51 % · FY26
% of manufacturing GVA
3.4 % · FY26
Revenue pool (gross output)
6.5 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Employment
~4.8 million · FY26
Exports
13 US$ bn · FY26
Imports
8.5 US$ bn · FY26
Listed market cap
~3.3 ₹ lakh crore · Jul-2026

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 188–194; base year 2022-23. Note: Base-year breaks in the historical GVA series occur at FY12 and FY23 (Table 28.1). Confidence grades vary by line: FY05/FY10 industry GVA grade D, FY15/FY20/FY26/FY30E grade C, FY35E grade D. Havells'