07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 29 · Autos, Mobility & Logistics

Passenger vehicles.

GVA FY26
₹1.3 lakh cr
0.41% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹3.8 lakh cr
0.49% of GVA
Growth to FY35
12.7% to FY30
12.6% FY30–35
Listed companies
48
₹24.30 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Passenger-vehicle assembly is a ₹1.3 lakh crore value-added industry in FY26 (0.41% of national GVA) built on ex-factory revenue of roughly ₹5.5 lakh crore, with six manufacturers making 93% of the ~4.5 million cars sold domestically and Maruti Suzuki alone making two in five. Value added in assembly is a modest slice of the car's price because 70-75% of cost is bought-in material, but the industry pulls a much larger economic chain of components, dealers, financiers and the exchequer behind it. Its trajectory is a low-penetration, large-volume story: India has just 38 cars per 1,000 people versus 240 in China, and the base case sees penetration reach 65 by FY35 alongside a continued SUV mix shift and rising small-car exports. Growth is driven by household income, credit penetration (80% financed), the September-2025 GST rationalisation and a roughly eight-year replacement cycle, while remaining cyclical and exposed to crude, rates and commodity costs.

Domestic sales
~4.5 mn units · FY26
Industry revenue (ex-factory)
~5.5 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Listed market cap (4 OEMs)
~11 ₹ lakh crore · Jul-2026 spot
Direct employment (OEM payroll incl. contract)
~0.2 mn · FY26
Exports
~10 US$ bn (~0.9 mn units, 17% of output) · FY26
OEM capex
~30,000 ₹ crore (~6% of revenue) · FY26
Cars per 1,000 people (India)
38 cars/1,000 people · FY26
CR3 / CR5
66 / 87 % · FY26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 195–200; base year 2022-23. Note: GVA before FY23 reconstructed from the ASI share of motor-vehicle manufacturing in manufacturing GVA (grade C/D); base-year breaks at FY12 and FY23. Table 29.5 shows a large (43%) unallocated residual