07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 30 · Autos, Mobility & Logistics

Two-wheelers.

GVA FY26
₹0.7 lakh cr
0.22% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹1.7 lakh cr
0.22% of GVA
Growth to FY35
10.7% to FY30
10.1% FY30–35
Listed companies
63
₹25.39 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Two- and three-wheeler assembly is the world's largest motorcycle and scooter market by volume, adding an estimated ₹0.7 lakh crore of value in FY26 (0.22% of national GVA) on gross output of about ₹2.3 lakh crore, with India making roughly 25 million units a year, selling 21 million domestically and exporting 4.6 million. Four firms (Hero, Honda, TVS, Bajaj) hold about 85% of the domestic market, and the industry is mature and volume-saturated in India, having only just regained its FY19 peak, so future growth is expected to come from price and mix (premiumisation, electric scooters, exports) rather than from unit volumes. Two-wheelers are the vehicle of the median Indian household (200 per 1,000 people versus 38 cars), are highly rural-income sensitive, and are also among the most profitable segments of Indian manufacturing for the profitable incumbents, even as EV challengers Ola Electric and Ather remain loss-making.

Estimated GVA
0.7 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Domestic sales
~21 mn units · FY26
Exports
~4.6 mn units (~US$4.5 bn) · FY26
Industry revenue (ex-factory, incl. exports)
~2.3 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Listed market cap (6 makers)
~6.2 ₹ lakh crore · Jul-2026 spot
Listed PAT
~0.18 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
EV share of sales
~7 % (1.4 mn electric two-wheelers) · FY26
Direct employment (OEM payroll incl. contract)
~0.12 mn · FY26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 201–205; base year 2022-23. Note: GVA before FY23 reconstructed from the ASI share of two/three-wheeler manufacturing (NIC 309) in manufacturing GVA (grade C/D); base-year breaks at FY12 and FY23. Corporate GVA (Table 30.3, total iden