07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 56 · FINANCIAL SERVICES

NBFCs & housing finance.

GVA FY26
₹4.5 lakh cr
1.4% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹12.5 lakh cr
1.6% of GVA
Growth to FY35
12.3% a year
11.7% FY30–35
Listed companies
379
₹33.88 L cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

NBFCs and housing finance companies form India's second-largest formal lending channel, extending ₹45 lakh crore of credit (13% of GDP) against ₹195 lakh crore for banks, and generating an estimated ₹4.5 lakh crore of gross value added in FY26 (1.4% of national GVA) on the same FISIM logic used for banks. The industry is barbelled: two government infrastructure lenders (PFC and REC) hold ₹12 lakh crore of loans at near-zero operating cost, while thousands of retail lenders (vehicle, gold, microfinance, consumer) earn 6-10% net interest margins with 3-5% operating costs, funded 35-40% by the banks they compete with. Reshaped by the IL&FS/DHFL defaults of 2018-19 and the July 2023 merger of HDFC Ltd into HDFC Bank (which removed roughly a seventh of the sector into banking), NBFC credit is again growing faster than banks' (about 15% in FY26) as retail credit penetration -- household credit is 35% of GDP versus 60%+ in East Asia -- still has room to run. Growth is capped by NBFCs' inability to raise deposits, which bounds expansion to bank lines and bond-market depth, and by regulation pushing the largest upper-layer NBFCs toward bank-like capital norms and potentially bank licences.

NBFC + HFC credit outstanding
45 ₹ lakh crore · Mar-26
NBFC credit / GDP
13 % · FY26
Estimated GVA (FISIM basis)
4.5 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
GVA as % of national GVA
1.4 % · FY26
Profit pool, all NBFCs
2.0 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Listed 'Finance' sector PAT (Ace)
1.96 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Market cap (Ace 'Finance' sector, Jul-26)
45.8 ₹ lakh crore · Jul-26
NBFC/HFC share of that market cap
~33 ₹ lakh crore · Jul-26

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 362–367; base year 2022-23. Note: GVA before FY23 is the author's split of NAS financial services (grade C/D); base-year breaks at FY12 and FY23; credit figures from FY24 onward exclude HDFC Ltd (merged into HDFC Bank, Jul-2023); real