07 /India top-down · 3 of 3 · chapter 61 · PUBLIC & SOCIAL SERVICES

Education.

GVA FY26
₹10.5 lakh cr
3.3% of national GVA
FY35E base case
₹25.5 lakh cr
3.3% of GVA
Growth to FY35
10.8% to FY30
10% FY30–35
Listed companies
55
₹77,816 cr market cap
History and projection

Gross value added

lighter bars = Atlas projections; ticks = bull / bear cases
In one paragraph

What this industry is

Education is a large, labour-intensive non-market-plus-market service — about 15 lakh schools, 1,200 universities and 45,000 colleges educating roughly 250 million school students and 45 million higher-education students — whose output is valued mainly by what it costs to produce: the wages of about 11 million teachers and faculty plus depreciation on buildings. It adds an estimated ₹10.5 lakh crore of value in FY26 (3.3% of national GVA), funded 57% by government (₹8.5 lakh crore a year) and the rest by households (₹7.9 lakh crore), with private, trust-run provision growing steadily as private-school enrolment rose from about a quarter of students in FY05 to roughly 45% in FY24. Growth has compounded at about 12% a year nominal since FY05, driven by teacher-wage step-ups (pay commissions) rather than headcount, since the school-age cohort has peaked and is now shrinking; higher education and coaching/test-prep are the growth pockets. Because Indian law requires schools, colleges and universities to be non-profit trusts, capital can only enter through the for-profit periphery — coaching, edtech, publishing and education services — leaving the listed sector tiny (₹452 crore of PAT on a ₹0.56 lakh crore market cap) and the activity among the least represented in the equity market relative to its economic size.

Estimated GVA
10.5 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Share of national GVA
3.3 % · FY26
Government spend on education
8.5 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Household spend on education (COICOP)
7.9 ₹ lakh crore · FY26
Government spend as % of GDP
~2.5 % · FY26
Household education spend as % of PFCE
4.0 % · FY26
Household spend per head
5,500 ₹ · FY26
School students (UDISE+)
24.8 crore · FY24

Source: India: The Economic & Equity Market Atlas, September 2026, pages 397–403; base year 2022-23. Note: Breadcrumb 'PART V · PRODUCTION SIDE · PUBLIC & SOCIAL SERVICES' is normalised from the letter-spaced heading rendering on each page (e.g. 'PA RT V · P R O D U C T I O N S I D E · P U B L I C & S O C